The Race for the Senate Majority: Democrats’ Momentum has Faltered

The race for the Senate was complicated by a few polls that went against the trend – and now the battlefield has been upended.

Days until Election: 43

This past week saw some big changes in the Senate battlefield, with the Democrats noticeably losing some of their edge. While the race is still a toss-up, the Democrats went from breaking even – and in some cases, edging to be the favorites to keep their majority – to having between a 40%-45% chance of doing so according to most pollsters. The biggest changes have been some states that leant Democrat sliding back into toss-up territory, and the safe Democrat states losing some of their edge. Colorado is the star of their week’s recap though, as it went from likely Democrat all the way to toss-up, and it seems to be shifting even further in Republican’s favor.

There are a number of reasons for why these shifts have occurred, the biggest being that there just have not been many reliable polls lately. A good chunk of polls that are being analyzed are partisan polls, which should always be taken with a grain of salt. For now, lets take a look at the layout of the battlefield to see just how things have changed in the past week.

Continue reading